WHAT IS THE MONTANA PLAN?
The Montana Plan, TMP, is a planned response to the attack of COVID-19 before the virus reaches the tipping point and herd immunity is the last hope.
TMP was inspired by the experiment conducted in Vo, Italy wherein the virus was immediately and simply eradicated from the town, pop. 3300.
TMP is a real world application of the Vo experiment. The hope is that a similarly successful outcome will be achieved. An improved Montana Plan, TMP2, will be ready to implement when the third Corona virus attack occurs.
*SARS was the first wave. The third assault, and experts expect to be far more lethal, is expected to occur a few months after COVID-19 has subsided, due primarily to the population achieving Herd Immunity due to a failed experiment (TMP test control group) of a nearly complete total non-response in the USA.)
TMP was inspired by the experiment conducted in Vo, Italy wherein the virus was immediately and simply eradicated from the town, pop. 3300.
TMP is a real world application of the Vo experiment. The hope is that a similarly successful outcome will be achieved. An improved Montana Plan, TMP2, will be ready to implement when the third Corona virus attack occurs.
*SARS was the first wave. The third assault, and experts expect to be far more lethal, is expected to occur a few months after COVID-19 has subsided, due primarily to the population achieving Herd Immunity due to a failed experiment (TMP test control group) of a nearly complete total non-response in the USA.)
WHY MONTANA?
The US state of Montana was chosen to the the laboratory for TMP for the following reasons;
- Population: The population, just over One Million. This number can quickly be isolated, protected, tested, sanitized and released to resume activities.
- Cities: A small number of cities relatively isolated from one another. TMP can be enacted in each population center simultaneously.
- Isolation: Montana has low volume inter-state travel. Entry and exit is easily controlled.
- Borders: Bordering states do not have large populations. Entry points to the state are relative few and easily controlled.
- Population: The population, just over One Million. This number can quickly be isolated, protected, tested, sanitized and released to resume activities.
- Cities: A small number of cities relatively isolated from one another. TMP can be enacted in each population center simultaneously.
- Isolation: Montana has low volume inter-state travel. Entry and exit is easily controlled.
- Borders: Bordering states do not have large populations. Entry points to the state are relative few and easily controlled.
TMP PRINCIPLES
TMP is designed to save lives and livelihoods. We do not believe one must be sacrificed for another. That is an unacceptable tradeoff.
TMP seeks to restore balance and return life to a New Normal.
TMP is an elegant design. Elegant in it's simplicity.
TMP utilizes the tools at hand. It looks to what exists today to solve today's problem. Future solutions are irrelevant to today's crisis.
TMP is effecient and effective. The impact on lives and the economy is minimal in time, cost and social disruption.
TMP in intelligent. Common sense. Practical ideas. Science. Data. Tech.
THE GREATEST TOOL IS INTELLIGENCE - Humans are designed for this.
Creative. Cleared eyed. Enlightened thinking. Unbiased. Humble. Rational. Compassionate. Sympathetic/Empathetic. Detached. Creative.
IN THE FACE of one of the greatest challenges in human history, humanity must choose. Follow the facts, or cling to Bias.
Facts and Humans can act in the moment to repel this threat and minimize collateral damage.
Bias distorts Facts. Distorted facts lead to sub-optimal outcomes and ultimately disaster.
TMP seeks to restore balance and return life to a New Normal.
TMP is an elegant design. Elegant in it's simplicity.
TMP utilizes the tools at hand. It looks to what exists today to solve today's problem. Future solutions are irrelevant to today's crisis.
TMP is effecient and effective. The impact on lives and the economy is minimal in time, cost and social disruption.
TMP in intelligent. Common sense. Practical ideas. Science. Data. Tech.
THE GREATEST TOOL IS INTELLIGENCE - Humans are designed for this.
Creative. Cleared eyed. Enlightened thinking. Unbiased. Humble. Rational. Compassionate. Sympathetic/Empathetic. Detached. Creative.
IN THE FACE of one of the greatest challenges in human history, humanity must choose. Follow the facts, or cling to Bias.
Facts and Humans can act in the moment to repel this threat and minimize collateral damage.
Bias distorts Facts. Distorted facts lead to sub-optimal outcomes and ultimately disaster.
TMP OPLAN
ORGANIZATION
Operation Command
Statewide: Governoral
County: Commissioner
City: Mayoral
Rural: County Commissioner
Deliberative bodies should be temporarily suspended due to the urgent immediate and imminent act of hostile aggression underway.
An Emergency Legislative Vote may be taken to adopt TMP and simultaneously prohibit deliberations relating to the adoption of the plan at county and local levels. This may be lifted at a set date or upon achievement of TMP's objective with the limitation that the ongoing Plan safety measures a
State Operation Teams
Chief Medical Officer
State Guard
State Police
County Operation Teams
County Commission
Medical Officer
Judge
Sheriff
City Operation Teams
Operation Commander (Mayor)
Police Chief
Medical Chief
Hospital/Clinic Administrator
Facemasks:
- Weekly facemask pickup and checkup with ID/app
- Washable N95 (cost over time, preparation, multi-disease control benefit ie Flu)
Operation Command
Statewide: Governoral
County: Commissioner
City: Mayoral
Rural: County Commissioner
Deliberative bodies should be temporarily suspended due to the urgent immediate and imminent act of hostile aggression underway.
An Emergency Legislative Vote may be taken to adopt TMP and simultaneously prohibit deliberations relating to the adoption of the plan at county and local levels. This may be lifted at a set date or upon achievement of TMP's objective with the limitation that the ongoing Plan safety measures a
State Operation Teams
Chief Medical Officer
State Guard
State Police
County Operation Teams
County Commission
Medical Officer
Judge
Sheriff
City Operation Teams
Operation Commander (Mayor)
Police Chief
Medical Chief
Hospital/Clinic Administrator
Facemasks:
- Weekly facemask pickup and checkup with ID/app
- Washable N95 (cost over time, preparation, multi-disease control benefit ie Flu)
OPERATION PLAN
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DAY ONE - LOCKDOWN & CRITICAL PERSONNEL TESTING - REMOVE THE INFECTED
Goal: Stop spread of virus with mandatory quarantine of entire population, and test to return Critical Personnel* to full mobility. 1. Lockdown entire state. 2. Distribute N95 Facemask distribution to all Critical Personnel not on Lockdown 3. Distribute Full PPE all Medical and Frontline. Hospital, EMS, Personnel with direct potential interaction with COVID-19 (Police, Guard...) 4. Testing (3 minute blood test) all Critical Personnel: Issue Status ID (physical and digital if possible (app may be required) Status levels: U A C A. U Uninfected. (no infection detected) B. C Cleared (antibodies present...Interview: 3+ days since symptomatic if known, or 3 day quarantine at Hotel to prevent shedding) C. A Active infection (Quarantine at Hotel or Hospital dependent on condition) 5. Stabilize Critical Operations *Critical Personnel: Command, Medical, Security, Safety, Military, Infrastructure (electric water...) DAY TWO - LOCKDOWN, MOBILIZATION & ESSENTIAL SERVICE MANAGEMENT CLEARED - REMOVE THE INFECTED Goal: Return return priority Essential Personnel and Services to functional status. A. M Medical essential. Pharmacy, Clinics, General Practice/Family Medicine: PPE and Testing B. R Food and Health security for at Risk populations: Meals on Wheels, Homeless Shelters... PPE and Testing (by staff) C. E Essential Services management teams Testing and PPE for management. Status U & A prepare PPE orders and plans for reestablishing operations U & A kept in Temporary Isolation (TI) to prevent infection**(exceptions) Test all known or suspected in hospital. DAY THREE - HIGHEST PRIORITY ESSENTIAL SERVICES (ES) RESTORATION - REMOVE THE INFECTED Essential Service Facilities are Sanitized PPE Orders fulfilled to Essential Services Management E Essential Service Staff (ESS) are - Tested by management. Status U & A are TI** - Trained in proper sanitary methods and presented PPE ES begin resumption of activity Food and Essential deliveries begin resumption. **Exceptions to immediate temporary isolation: Caretakers...household must be tested before returning to activity or ? ES Workers until household is tested or if live alone. Test high risk populations: Nursing Homes, Homeless, Immune compromised. DAY FOUR TO SEVEN - ESSENTIAL SERVICES RESTORED - POPULATION TESTING BEGINS - REMOVE THE INFECTED Status Identification Issued for each Tested Person (physical and/or digital) and entered into Registry (DL?) U can return to public activity with PPE and Social Distancing (SD) A must prove infection was more than 3(5) days prior or go into Self Quarantine (not self isolation) C are quarantined or hospitalized DAY 15 TO 22 - RETESTING BEGINS Population is retested 14 days post first test to identify any infections not caught in first test. |
FAQWhy aren't ventilators mentioned?
TMP assumes there is enough for a small outbreak. It is too late (4.2.20) to pursue a significant ventilator strategy, for this outbreak. |
SUPPLIES REQUIRED
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$20.gal INITIAL RESPONSE
Week 1 Supply - Lockdown PPE N95 FACEMASKS $2.50 Command (Governmental) First Responders (Guard, EMS, Police, Fire) Critical Infrastructure (water, electric, At Risk populations (Nursing Home, Homeless, Elderly...) Critical Distribution (Amazon Delivery *critical supplies only, Medicine, Grocery, Meals on Wheels, Shelters, Food Pantries...) SANITIZATION 70% Alchohol $20/gallon Alchohol fog equipment $? Sanitization supplies $? FULL PPE KITS - Medical Front Line 10,000 workers? $20/kit?tbd Emergency Room: Medical professionals, staff, patients (pre-screened for entry/admission) Assume 10 PPE Changes per day for 10 days. TEST KITS 1,100,ooo $4/kit (multi person?) Blood test: Active infection and Antibodies INFECTED PROPERTY SANITIZATION HOTEL: NON-MILD SYMPTOMATIC QUARANTINE ID CARD/APP: COVID-19 status WEEK 2 Facemasks N95 Facemasks 3 Ply Surgical $0.60 Test Kits (use 100k leftover from week 1 to test persons who are suspected symptomatic missed in 1 Santizer Full PPE: Food supply workers Full PPE: Medical WEEK 3 Test Kits 1,100,000 (2nd test) PPE Sanitizer ONGOING: Medical: Full PPE Kits Critical and Essential: General Population: Weekly PPE/Facemask Distribution 3 Ply Surgical 1,100,000 weekly *Consider transition to washable reusable N95 masks after COVID-19 is controlled, population is trained in proper usage, and in preparation for future outbreaks. One time cost $35 each. 2,000,000 (2 per population) or other multi use options...to be evaluated Sanitizer STOCKPILE: Preparation for future Corona outbreaks PPE Ventilators/ CPAP Test Kits Sanitizer |
COST
Costs are based upon today's factory direct price, +10%+_ profit margin, before freight. 2,500,000 2,000,000 2,000,000 4,400,000 1,000,000 3,500,000 1,400,000 2,000,000 4,000,000 TOTAL $22,800,000 COST PER LIFE: pop: 1,000,000 aprx Herd Immunity 70% 700,000 20% Hospitalization 140,000 Mortality Rate 10% 14,000 ASSUMING LATE START 4,000 casualties 10,000 lives saved COST PER LIFE SAVED $2,280 |